Mackie: Mumford and Anjum on Incompatibilism, Powers, and Determinism

A summary of Mackie, Penelope. “Mumford and Anjum on incompatibilism, powers, and determinism.” Analysis 74.4 (2014): 593 – 603. A reply to Mumford and Anjum (2014). Recovered from an old comment I’ve posted elsewhere.


Recall the core argument in Mumford and Anjum (2014):

  1. If causal determinism obtains, then all events are necessitated.
  2. If all events are necessitated, then there are no powers.
  3. Free will consists in the exercise of an agent’s powers.

Therefore, if causal determinism obtains, then there is no free will.

Mackie focuses her attention on the defense of (2) from the “Possibility of Interference,” arguing that not only do Mumford and Anjum fail to adequately defend (2), but in addition that what they say elsewhere seems to incompatible with it. Recall that Mumford and Anjum object to (2) on the grounds of their account of dispositional modality, which rests between strict necessity and pure contingency, to the effect that causes themselves never necessitate their effects, an argument they tie to the ever-present possibility of interference, as discussed above. Mackie is puzzled by this move from the possibility of interference to the incompatibility of necessitation with powers, since they allow elsewhere for a result to be necessitated even if not by its causes simpliciter – in effect, they seemed to accept before that causal determinism and powers were compatible. It’s worth quoting both passages Mackie cites here, in full:

Dispositionality is thus never a source of the necessity of something in the world, even if it exists alongside it. In the deterministic case, for instance, where it is necessary that Fa, that is not because there was a disposition towards it. What delivers the necessity in claim B is that, somehow, everything got fixed. That will include the fixedness of all the background conditions –including which dispositions do, and which do not, act to produce the necessitated outcome – but it was not those powers that necessitated that outcome.

Mumford, Stephen and Rani Lill Anjum. Getting Causes from Powers. Oxford: OUP, 2011. pp. 178-179.

Given what has been said about B, therefore, claim D should not be read as saying that necessity and dispositionality are incompatible absolutely. Rather, it needs to be read as disposing towards F is never the necessitating of F, even if F is for some other reason, necessitated.

Mumford, Stephen and Rani Lill Anjum. Getting Causes from Powers. Oxford: OUP, 2011. p. 179.

(For background context, these citations come from chapter 8, where Mumford and Anjum develop their account of dispositional modality. Claim B is that if a has a disposition to F, then it is non-necessary that a F’s and D is the contrapositive, such that if it is necessary that a F’s, then a does not have a disposition to F)

Is there then a reason to hold that a powers-based view of causation cannot accommodate causal determinism – that is, to uphold (2)?

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Franklin: Powers, Necessity, and Determinism

A summary of Franklin, Christopher Evan. “Powers, Necessity, and Determinism.” Thought 3.3 (2014): 225-229. A reply to Mumford and Anjum (2014). Recovered from an old comment I’ve posted elsewhere.


Recall the core argument in Mumford and Anjum (2014):

  1. If causal determinism obtains, then all events are necessitated.
  2. If all events are necessitated, then there are no powers.
  3. Free will consists in the exercise of an agent’s powers.

Therefore, if causal determinism obtains, then there is no free will.

Franklin principally charges Mumford and Anjum (2014) as to equivocating on the scope of necessitation between premise (1) and premise (2), such that there is no consistent reading in which both premises are true. With respect to the phrase, “all events are necessitated,” Franklin holds that there are two ways to understand it.

The first interpretation is such that the phrase “all events are necessitated” means that for any event E, there exists some event E* such that E* causes E and in every possible world at which E* obtains, E* causes E. In other words, every world at which the cause occurs is one where it brings about its effect.

The second interpretation is such that the phrase “all events are necessitated” means that for any event E, there exists some event E* such that E* causes E and in every possible world with the same past and laws, E* causes E. In other words, every world with the same past and laws where the cause occurs is one where it brings about its effect.

Franklin’s charge is that, per the first interpretation, (2) is true but (1) is false, and per the second intepretation, (1) is true, but (2) is false. He tackles them in reverse order.

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Mumford and Anjum: A New Argument Against Compatibilism

A summary of Mumford, Stephen and Rani Lill Anjum. “A new argument against compatibilism.” Analysis 74.1 (2014): 20-25. Recovered from an old comment I’ve posted elsewhere.


The core argument of Mumford and Anjum is that:

  1. If causal determinism obtains, then all events are necessitated.
  2. If all events are necessitated, then there are no powers.
  3. Free will consists in the exercise of an agent’s powers.

Therefore, if causal determinism obtains, then there is no free will.

They note their argument is principally aimed against philosophers who have a sympathy for a powers-based approach, with an eye towards recent powers-based compatibilistic accounts as opposed to powers-based libertarian accounts.

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The Knowability Paradox

In Frederic Fitch’s “A Logical Analysis of Some Value Concepts,” Journal of Symbolic Logic 28.2 (1963): 135 – 142, Fitch provides an argument to the effect that if every truth is knowable, then every truth is in fact known. Here is a standard presentation of the argument as seen on the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy:

Let “KT” denote the “Knowability Thesis,” that all truths are knowable. In other words,

(KT): ∀p (p → ◊Kp)

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A Rough Sketch of an Argument For Necessitarianism

Necessitarianism is the view that there are no metaphysical possibilities apart from actuality – the world could not have been a different way. Actuality, possibility, and necessity are all interchangeable and the fact that Obama became the US President in 2008 and 2012 is just as much a necessary fact as the fact that 2 + 2 = 4. The view is also sometimes known as modal fatalism or Megarian actualism.

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Quine: On What There Is

A summary of Quine, W.V.O. “On What There Is.” The Review of Metaphysics 2.5 (1948): 21 – 38.


“A curious thing about the ontological problem is its simplicity. It can be put in three Anglo-Saxon monosyllables: ‘What is there?’ It can be answered, moreover, in a word – ‘Everything’ – and everyone will accept this answer as true. However, this is merely to say that there is what there is. There remains room for disagreement over cases; and so the issue has stayed alive down the centuries.” (Quine 1948: 21)

Quine seeks to diagnose the issue of ontological commitment and proceeds to view the issue through two perennial ontological debates: first, the problem of negative existentials, and secondly, the problem of universals. Quine introduces the idea of a conceptual scheme to analyze how ontological disputes arise in the first place.

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Oppy: The Best Argument Against God

A summary of Oppy, Graham. The Best Argument Against God. Palgrave Pivot, 2013. 96pp.


 

A summary of G. Oppy’s points are in standard font. My comments are in italics.

INTRODUCTION

Oppy says that while the discussion in his book suggests what he takes to be a very powerful cumulative case argument against theism, he says that he does not defend it. Comment: ???

PRELIMINARIES

Minimal Theism: God, an agent, is the source of the natural world.

Standard Theism: God, an omnipotent omniscient morally perfect agent, is the source of the natural world.

Minimal Naturalism: There are no fundamental supernatural causal properties. Causal reality is natural reality – the entire space of causes is exhausted by natural entities and processes. This entails atheism. Comment: What is the natural / supernatural distinction? Couldn’t we scientifically investigate ghosts if they exerted measurable effects on the world? One tends to get the impression that by “natural,” Oppy means “physical,” but there is an additional worry about how “physical” is supposed to be cashed out. For more on this, see recent work on panpsychism and physicalism by D. Chalmers, D. Stoljar, G. Strawson, and others.

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Fodor: Review of Buller’s Adapting Minds

A summary of Fodor, Jerry. “The Selfish Gene Pool,” The Times Literary Supplement (July 27, 2005), reviews Buller, David. Adapting Minds. MIT Press.


Evolutionary psychology is the set of theses committed to that (i) our minds are massively modular (ii) a lot of psychological structure is innate and (iii) much of that organization are adaptations due to selection pressures in our past. However, Buller is largely an anti-nativist in which experiential knowledge is accrued via a general purpose topic-neutral cognitive mechanism, but the challenge is to accommodate that with the fact that we know more than what our environment instructs us. Buller doesn’t contest that a lot of mental organization are evolutionary adaptations, but largely contests which are the adaptations. However, Fodor contests this commitment to adaptationism later on. However, Fodor agrees with Buller that a lot of EP is overhyped and inconclusive.

Consider standard adaptationism: some heritable phenotype F is explained by a scientific account in which F would have conferred increased fitness (the probability of a given organism contributing to the gene pool of his breeding group). EP extends this to behaviors which are explained by a psychology, that in turn acted upon adaptational forces. However, the introduction of motives complicates the issues as a variety of motives are compatible with a single type of behavior. For instance, Jones is seen carrying an umbrella. One motive might be that he thinks it will rain and desires to avoid getting wet. Another motive might be that he is returning the umbrella to another person. Insofar as behavior is a manifestation of adaptation, EP needs to get motives right and such that the motives conduce to fitness.

However, EP may have to appeal to “unattached motives.” For Jones the proximal cause of his carrying an umbrella may to avoid getting wet to avoid dying to cold. But the ultimate cause is maximize his contribution to the gene pool. But this is a motive that Jones neither consciously or unconsciously has, let alone his ancestors. Who has these floating motives? Some say Mother Nature – but there is no such thing. Buller talks of our motivational systems being designed to cause us to act in certain ways – but nothing designed our motivational systems. Clearly our motivational systems are involved with reproductive success – but what it causes is one thing, what it is designed to cause is another. We can invoke neurological structure in a story about migraines, but that doesn’t mean the former was designed to give us migraines.

Buller says that hypotheses about the evolution of marriage are hypotheses about the beneficial effects of marriage, not hypotheses about motives. But he also says EP seeks the ultimate cause of those motives. But that doesn’t work – a beneficial aspect of my nose is to support glasses, but that doesn’t mean that my nose was designed to support glasses. (Much the other way around) Note that glasses are designed to be supported by noses whether or not our noses do so succeed. For intentionality, you can’t infer effects desired from the effects produced.

There is a problem in distinguishing what is selected from what is selected-for. This is an issue for evolution in general, but particular problematic for EP. For instance: why do we have a lot of sex? Here are two potential answers. (i) Because we like it and it’s fun (ii) because it furthers our genotype (whose mind are these motives in? our genes? Mother nature?) Notice first, unlike the Jones case, that whether one has sex for fun or one has sex to try to make heirs doesn’t make a difference in the number of children had (there’s a tie in terms of reproductive success). So, is interest in sex a by-product of interest in reproduction or vice versa? This can’t be in principle be answered for unanchored motives – we can’t stipulate that the unanchored motive selected-for was the one that increased reproductive success since here there is no difference. Here (i) looks better.

This is an instance of a more general puzzle about intentionality. Behaviors can often have unintended effects. Jack climbed a hill and tripped and fell down – but his intention was to get a pail of water. Then does it follow that a desire to climb hills is an adaptation? That depends on the extent to which it promotes reproductive success but as we saw the effects are not sufficient that decides whether a given mental disposition is an adaptation. Once again, one can’t reconstruct the mental dispositions from the given effects of behavior – does one want to marry because it’s nice or because it promotes breeding? We can’t simply settle that by determining which would have lead to reproductive success in the ancestral environment.

Here’s a potential EP response: “Motives don’t make a difference insofar as sex and reproduction remain linked. But what if the connection had been broken? Would we still have sex nonetheless?” Fodor says yes (consider our enthusiasm for birth control) but the EP supporter might retort that “If the connection had been broken, evolution would have selected the ones that favored reproduction over sex.” However, there were no such competitors and evolution doesn’t act on counterfactual competition. Also, evolution acts on whole organisms, not individual traits – indulgence is possible as long as viability is maintained on balance. As Fodor urges, the idea that there is only ever one goal we pursue is erroneous ; perhaps selection forces could have been such that no trait survives unless it conduces to fitness, but there is no indication of us evolving in such conditions. It seems that we have been having sex, singing, dancing, etc for fun from the start – things we do for no reason in particular and not because of unattached motives to our genes or “Mother Nature.” The idea that everyone really wants to maximize their contribution to the gene pool is no more credible than other “theories” of what people “really” want.

Button: Putnam’s Realism, Perception, & Skepticism

A summary of Tim Button’s talk “Putnam’s Realism, Perception, & Skepticism” from the 2013 University of Munich workshop on Putnam’s model-theoretic argument


 

“The ‘how does language hook on to the world’ issue is, at bottom, a replay of the old ‘how does perception hook on to the world’ issue . . . Is it any wonder that one cannot see how thought and perception hook on to the world if one never mentions perception?” – Putnam, Hilary. “Sense, Nonsense, and the Senses: An Inquiry into the Powers of the Human Mind.” Journal of Philosophy 91.9 (1994): 456.

Button discusses and defends Hilary Putnam’s model-theoretic argument against metaphysical realism. Button calls metaphysical realism “external realism.” He outlines three commitments external realists have:

  • Independence Principle: Objects are largely independent of minds, languages, and theories. (Obviously though, minds, languages, and theories themselves depend on minds, languages, and theories!)
  • Correspondence Principle: Truth involves a correspondence between assertions and objects – between word and world. (The correspondence relation should be understood here as unique and yielding bivalent semantics according to Kate Hodesdon)
  • Cartesianism Principle: An ideal theory may nonetheless be completely wrong. (The external realist is likely to accept the possibility of skeptical scenarios such as being a brain in a vat or the nonexistence of the external world entirely. For the external realist, there is a fundamental distinction between what appears to be the case and what really is the case.)

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Kelly: Moorean Facts and Belief Revision, or can the Skeptic Win?

T. Kelly: Moorean Facts and Belief Revision

A summary of Kelly, Thomas. “Moorean Facts and Belief Revision, or Can the Skeptic Win?” Philosophical Perspectives 19.1 (2005): 179 – 205.


 

(MF) “[Moorean Facts are] one of the things we know better than we know the premises of any philosophical argument to the contrary.” — D.K. Lewis

One can consider the “skeptic” referred throughout to be a skeptic of the external world. Consider some argument that yields some skeptical conclusion. Suppose one is unable to find either a false premise or a fallacious inference in the argument. Here are two hypotheses to explain one’s inability to find an error with the argument:

(NO-FLAW) The argument is in fact cogent and flawless.

(HIDDEN-FLAW) Due to one’s cognitive limitations, one did not detect a flaw with the argument but nonetheless there is a flaw in the argument.

Then, the Moorean is someone who thinks HIDDEN-FLAW hypotheses constitute better explanations than NO-FLAW hypotheses in these cases. However, this is a more modest dogmatism: refusal to change belief is due to appreciation of one’s cognitive limitations. In this sense, the skeptic insists on the fact that the argument seems flawless as indication of its being flawless, where in other contexts they will not be so cavalier with appearances. Let’s return to MF and consider how to read it. On a weak reading of MF, stating that A is a MF is to state that no known philosophical arguments so far rationally compel belief in ¬A. However, most Mooreans are saying something stronger – that there is a relationship between A and all arguments for ¬A that may be given for all times. Consider two ways of understanding this claim:

(MF-PREDICTION) Stating that A is a MF is such that one predicts that no philosophical arguments now or in the future will rationally undermine A.

(MF-POLICY) Stating that A is a MF is to endorse a policy in which any argument having ¬A as its conclusion is judged as a bad argument.

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